Let the debate begin the nation
has been provided a body of work that has spanned several weeks and multiple
head-to-head match-up; the number one player discussion is unequivocally between
these two players as they have separated themselves in the last month from a
very talent group of players nationally.
A few things are simple and must be stated up front with respect to this
analysis.
1.
Fear is a factor – players have ducked events to avoid
competing against these two
2.
You can’t run you can’t hide
3.
If you didn’t attend ANY of the events you cannot be considered (all top
candidates were invited to all events)
4.
Whatever the result/opinion rendered both players are
special and deserving
5.
This will be one of the top match-ups and arguments for
the next 24-months at least
6.
Both players
have earned this opportunity through hard work in the gym
7.
A premium will
be placed on size moving forward and in the future
8.
Current impact as well as future potential and upside
must be considered
9.
Both players have played in the biggest events, against
the best competition, on the biggest stages – can’t be a top national candidate
by not leaving your neighborhood
10. Their
teams have all won on the highest national level proving there is impactful translation when these players are on the court
It's a debate quietly going on in the youth basketball
circles, in many gyms, scouting meetings, AAU circles and even college recruiters. Whereas the easy and popular option is to go
with Zion Harmon as #1 in the country at P2bball.com we like to challenge this
theory as we have done on the past in other classes – this time enter Ryan
Conway, the best contender for the spot that we have seen in the 3 years since
Harmon has been named #1 by our professionals.
Those who simply follow the crowd and do not analyze will tell you Harmon
in a heartbeat; those who have seen both and evaluated their skill sets may not
answer as quickly or as expected. Harmon
who choose not to compete in the Middle School All-American Game in front of
national camera’s that will be rebroadcast this week here on P2bball.com
relishished and opportunity to define his position to the nation. Their
match-up in the Basketball Spotlight Future Phenom Camp had a clear winner as
did the NYBL All-Star Game. Yet, one of
the most contriversal and most watch match-ups occurred in Ohio this past
weekend at the Buckeye Prep Showcase.
Let's delve deeper into this, Zion “The Lion” Harmon (5’6’’)
or Ryan “ Cruise Control” Conway (6’0”); a question that will shape the national
Top 100 – is there actually an obvious
long-term answer as to who is the nation’s better prospect; we will attempt to
determine.
To date, each has had
spectacular videos released from workouts, to in camps performances, or in game
heroics. Yet, even with their upsides
being often presented to the general public as so often as with any 7th
graders they have weaknesses that will need to be improved upon and with insane
work ethics each will surely do whatever it takes to remain the best that each
can be as individual players.
Tale of the Tape
(5’6) Harmon is the smaller of the two yet has the stronger core strength having engaged in a workout regimen that would put many college and professional athletes to shame. You peel back Harmon’s skin and you wouldn’t be surprised if you found wires instead of the veins. He is a well-conditioned athlete in every sense of the word. Harmon is able use his base and core strength to shoot with great range, reach his attack point on open court penetration, and is crafty enough to work well within the midrange using crafty finishes to be effective in the paint.
(6’0) Conway is the naturally
bigger player and his sheer genetic size alone makes him a tough cover when
going to downhill – his upper body strength is apparent in his finishing ability
as he is able to absorb contact in the open court and is tremendously effective
in the paint where he is one of the top finishers regardless of position. Conway can stop and pop, spin move into a
solid midrange jumper as he is able to shoot over most guards in the
class. His range and release also
extends into NBA range.
Conclusion: At the end of the day no one can out run
father time and genetics can’t be beat with vitamins, minerals, or work ethic;
consideration must also be taken into account of maximization considering the
work Harmon as dedicated to date and work Conway has to do advantage - Conway
Creating Own Offense
Harmon has faced double and triple teams for several years and is the best one-on-one player in the country. There may be no one better at creating a shot for themselves; Harmons ability to create space, make reads of the jab and catch is uncanny. He only needs a split second or a brief window to attack and get to where he wants not where the defense dictates – the only defense for Harmon in a one-on-one situation is size and length that can recover from the space that he creates and/or is able to give initial space where recovery is still available.
Conway who started as more of a
catch and shoot player; has honed his skill from hours in the gym and competing
against the best competition on the country at the 2020 level where the game is
faster and the players are bigger.
Moving to the class of 2021 Conway has gained the experience of knowing
how to use the angles and his body to find scoring opportunities. So what we have seen in recent months is even
more impressive that Conway too has begun to space defenders, put and keep them
on his hip, and operate with counters-to-counters and stop anywhere on the
floor to release a shot that is a pure as the day is long. What Conway lacks is experience and he too
must learn to attack against length and size as well.
Conclusion: Harmon has operated
for years in situations where entire teams and game plans have been geared to
stop him. He has and remains able to
create his own shot; experience trumps a developing skill set advantage -
Harmon
Perimeter Scoring
Harmon has the most range in middle school not just the class of 2021; his range is what we call in the gym and he is able to manipulate between two distinctly different strokes – one is more of a set shot type catch and shoot and one is more a power shot off the bounce and has gradually turned into a very solid jump shot and pull-up game. At Harmons size the ability to space the floor for himself and teammates is essential and he is one of the best at doing it. When you can place him next to another ball-handler who can set him up you can really see what a weapon he is.
Understanding that there is no
such thing as a four point shot, Conway’s value as a shooter is equal to
Harmons – understanding the value and development of additional range as Conway
is transitioned to the PG which Harmon as operated in for several years will
teach him the aspect that Harmon knows.
Conway is the best catch and shoot player in the class and is quickly
bringing his off the dribble game to match.
The release is quick and he exhibits great body control in the middle
game where is size allows him to operate there more exclusively and effectively. Conway with a set-up man can put up video
game numbers – once the on the bounce game matches that he will simply have to
learn to operate with all eye on him.
Conclusion: With many components to be considered in the
specific area entitled perimeter scoring; range is of great value but
presumably so the effectiveness in the middle game where size is a factor
advantage – Push/Tie
Attacking off the Bounce
Harmon is the smoother/craftier perimeter player of the two, Conway is flat out unstoppable when it comes to attacking the basket. This is where Conway can dominate and exhibits enormous upside and separation. He is a improving athlete who is naturally strong but isn’t a bully ball player – his explosiveness improves each time we see him and he is very close to finishing at the rim.
With Harmon being so prolific
shooting the ball, he will sometimes settle for the perimeter shot instead of
pressuring the defense and challenging them in the paint as we acknowledged earlier
he is one of the best at creating the shot he wants. We understand the value as there will not be
lay-ups available at the High School/College levels for many players especially
lead guards – so Harmon’s approach makes long-term basketball sense. We have
noted that Harmon sometimes will pass up a drive to the basket for a perimeter
shot which is a naturally lower percentage deal. Another interesting determination made
between the two is Harmon’s more perimeter orientated game while we see Conway
doing some solid work off the block putting in work in the post against small
guards.
The key to this is foul shot
creation – Conway who is a 85/90% shooter from the stripe collects more two
shot opportunities whereas Harmon who scares the dickens out of most defenders
is fouled more out front when attacking.
A small caveat but these two players are so close that the smallest
details must be considered. The advanced
mental aspect of Harmon allows him to use this now to his advantage but once
the experience, IQ, and coaching catch up that advantage my be unavailable
advantage - Conway
Versatility
Experience allows Harmon to play great situational basketball, he can be on the court at anytime and be a factor – but he is a one to two position players at the 7th grade level and potentially a one position against the most elite. Conway is a natural two; who must further develop especially in big situations at the one against the best at that position. Defensively you are who you can guard and Conway is a more complete option in that aspect.
Versatility
Experience allows Harmon to play great situational basketball, he can be on the court at anytime and be a factor – but he is a one to two position players at the 7th grade level and potentially a one position against the most elite. Conway is a natural two; who must further develop especially in big situations at the one against the best at that position. Defensively you are who you can guard and Conway is a more complete option in that aspect.
Advantage - Conway
On the Block
For Harmon you can’t mention his name without talking about his immense set of skills, his killer instinct, and his winning pedigree. Yet the block is one of the spots that very seldom occupies – Conway with his size or power and can create separation to shoot over either shoulder. Recently we have seen a very nice fade-away and turnaround come into the picture. Again, LONG TERM players like Conway who can force a doubles and can handle and pass do magical things for offenses and court spacing and teammates. When Conway’s shot isn’t falling what a great secondary option this becomes in the scope of his game. Harmon doesn’t have this level of versatility; using his natural scoring gifts instead to hurt you everywhere else – this difference will impact the carry over to the high school level and impact our evaluation on this specific aspect.
Advantage - Conway
On the Boards
Conway is currently the better rebounder and will likely maintain this advantage throughout – as he plays a more physical game and impacts the game on both glasses with put backs on offense as well as grabbing and pushing on the defensive glass. Conway has consistently shown great rebounding prowess even at the 2020 level which will translate a level down for sure. Harmon on the other hand is more of what we call an out-of-position rebounder; he often comes in from the outside and grabs boards in traffic, but isn’t the same in a natural half court situation.
Advantage - Conway
Defensive Ability
Regardless of what anyone says, Harmon’s experience on defense must be respected He has played against the very best at multiple levels and is so smart and wise beyond his years when he is focused and engaged on this end of the court he can be a disruptive force on the perimeter.
Defensive Ability
Regardless of what anyone says, Harmon’s experience on defense must be respected He has played against the very best at multiple levels and is so smart and wise beyond his years when he is focused and engaged on this end of the court he can be a disruptive force on the perimeter.
Canway has the athletic ability
to guard all perimeter positions and in some cases can use his strength and
quickness to play a smaller 4. Foot
speed, motor, and quickness coupled with a strength he is a factor for most he
goes against and a flat out stopper for others.
Harmon who is an offensive weapon
like no other, and is more brains than brawn on the defensive end the reality
is that, defense may never be his calling card.
Much of defensie in positional and Harmon has proven that he can make a
bigtime stop or steal while playing the passing lane or making a read on a big that
drops or brings the ball low.
Conway is no liability, but
speaking about what is today vs what could potentially Conway long-term we give
respect to “The Lion” for his body of work advantage – Harmon
Intangibles
Harmon may be the winning player in the country if stats were kept on this. He has played with and against the very best at every level. He has won on every level, he has been in every situation good, bad, or indifferent – he has no equal in the when it comes to poise of the mental aspects of the game. He is humble and coachable, respect the coach and the game and is a excellent teammate. He is a student and a teacher and may be one of the smartest payers we have ever seen. Harmon gives poise a whole new meaning – no one compares the country to this aspect of Harmons game and may be the secret ingredient as to what make his so special; his intangibles. Something that can’t be coached, something that you can’t train – no one is more competitive or has a bigger heart than this player it no disrespect to anyone when you talk intangibles and say advantage - Harmon.
Conclusion
There is really no “wrong” answer here and both are great players with future high major potential. But, only one of these two can be named #1 player in the country in the class of 2021.
Intangibles
Harmon may be the winning player in the country if stats were kept on this. He has played with and against the very best at every level. He has won on every level, he has been in every situation good, bad, or indifferent – he has no equal in the when it comes to poise of the mental aspects of the game. He is humble and coachable, respect the coach and the game and is a excellent teammate. He is a student and a teacher and may be one of the smartest payers we have ever seen. Harmon gives poise a whole new meaning – no one compares the country to this aspect of Harmons game and may be the secret ingredient as to what make his so special; his intangibles. Something that can’t be coached, something that you can’t train – no one is more competitive or has a bigger heart than this player it no disrespect to anyone when you talk intangibles and say advantage - Harmon.
Conclusion
There is really no “wrong” answer here and both are great players with future high major potential. But, only one of these two can be named #1 player in the country in the class of 2021.
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